Activist Investor pushing changes at SWA - Airline Pilot Central Forums (2024)

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#131

WHACKMASTER , 06-20-2024 06:42 PM

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Quote:

Originally Posted by cessnapilot

agree

Another take on it here

🤣🤣🤣 You know what also threatens SWA? SWA’s pathetic upper management!

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#132

Smooth at FL450 , 06-20-2024 07:42 PM

weekends off? Nope...

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SWA has advanced cancer. Should we ride it out and hope for the best, or try chemo?

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#133

e6bpilot , 06-20-2024 08:09 PM

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Traffic Alert

I agree with some of his points. However, we are here because of the ineptitude and complacency of our C suite. They elected to just coast on past success while everyone else climbed the mountain. They left the door open for this and we should all be angry at them for it. Gary and Bob need to go play w/ their grandkids and let someone else divert SWA into what its next chapter is. They don’t deserve that chance anymore. Nobody knows what will happen next and we have to just control what we can. There is probably a ton of investor politics being played behind the scenes. Things will change but I think we will still be SWA at the core. They even referenced some of Herbs best quotes in their summary. The big 3 added Basic Economy to compete w/ us and now it’s time to add Premium Seats to return the favor, along with adding galley carts w/ edible food.

Totally agree that mananagment caused this.

So far the Kelly/Jordan dream team has gotten us:
-The winter meltdown, costing approx $2B. That's 2,000 million dollars or every bit of profit for multiple years in less than two weeks. Every time I think of the scale of that disaster, I am astonished. The only thing that is more astonishing is that everyone kept their jobs.
-A shotgun marriage to a failing aircraft manufacturer. They had a chance to split off and make a bold choice and passed on it, forcing their hand and causing untold financial hardship for the company and its employees.
-Now this...they weakened this company so much that they invited a guest into our house to tell us how to fix ourselves. Great.

Just like everyone else, I am along for the ride, but it's pretty bad that every time someone asks me where I work I have to prepare for the litany of questions about how bad we are and/or the latest near disaster being reported in the press. It's concerning to say the least.

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#134

Margaritaville , 06-21-2024 08:39 AM

It's 5 o'clock somewhere

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Quote:

Originally Posted by anonymousxyz

Going anonymous here for obvious reasons. This is my “cryptocurrency millionaire story”:

I’m in my early 30’s. I have always worked in tech, and as a natural geek, I’ve always had my eyes on new and exciting tech developments.

So early last year, I started looking into bitcoin investment and that was when I met this cryptocurrency miner/expert at a web seminar, we exchanged contact and started communicating. He helped me set up my first wallet, and miner on my home office PC, just to show me how it worked. But naturally, I was still curious. So after my research, I realize it’s more than just “internet geek money,” and that there are a lot of pretty smart people flooding into the space.

A short time later, to my surprise my investment portfolio had started to skyrocket. I decided to explore it more, and even buy some more into my investment package from my friend to add to the little bit I had mined. I’ve spent money on dumber things…why not?!

By the time the market had reached a new ATH (this past April 2024), I had turned my initial $15k into $1.9 million. All these wouldn't have happened if not for the expertise of my genius friend. Best part is that I have now resigned to focus on my investments full-time.

If you wish to invest, recover stolen bitcoin, learn more on how to make money off cryptocurrency easily, you can reach out to my buddy. He can be reached via email. (CERTIFIEDCRYPTOGRAPHER @ G M A I L dot, com) I’ve now learned quite about crypto, and all of the different projects happening. By now, I've also realized that it’s still a brand new industry, and that it’s not going anytime soon so its not too late to get started.

Big lol. This place has gone downhill if spambots can sign on this easily.

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#135

4V14T0R , 06-21-2024 08:56 AM

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Quote:

Originally Posted by REF 5

800 pound gorilla talk has really nothing to do with the network. It has to do with the balance sheet of SWA. SWA still by a wide margin has net cash position. They are the only airline that has investment grade rating by all three agencies. None of the other three legacies have that. All the holders of debt can call their loan's tomorrow and only SWA can pay it off and still have about 3 billion in cash left over. It's important that it stays that way. That balance sheet gives them the abilty to do stupid things(like the melt down) and not financially destroy the enterprise. It's one of the main reasons's why Elliott and at one point Buffet invested in SWA. In a cash intensive business like the airlines, the balance sheet gives companies like SWA a advantage in good and bad times. Having said that, operating margins are terrible due to low yields on the revenue side and massive cost increases on the cost side. Many more airplanes can only fix the cost side. The revenue side, I guess we'll see the plan in the fall.

When it comes to the network, of the top 50 US markets, SWA is #1 in half of them. US airfares have been going down now for over a year. CPI has seen decreases of 14 straight months of US airfares. Legacies have the advantage because of their big international footprint. Almost all the gains of the unit revenue side have been because of markets like Europe. Which SWA ain't doin. Although I predict code sharing is and will be a important part of their revenue strategery come the fall.

Not sure about this fall, but search galaxy program on swalife. There's some interesting stuff there. There's a lot of ways they can work on the revenue side, but they are trigger shy. Cost side is like you said or they do things employees don't like and we all (hopefully) tell them to shove it.

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#136

REF 5 , 06-22-2024 10:07 AM

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Quote:

Originally Posted by 4V14T0R

Not sure about this fall, but search galaxy program on swalife. There's some interesting stuff there. There's a lot of ways they can work on the revenue side, but they are trigger shy. Cost side is like you said or they do things employees don't like and we all (hopefully) tell them to shove it.

Many projects in the pipe line. Some will definitely be beneficial to the revenue side of things. It is amazing how much detail these projects get into. I don't think the "trigger shy" guys have a choice. Especially when you start putting estimates of revenue projections for the next couple of years. If they won't, some one else will. You can tell some of those projects have been in the works for a while. BJ already hinted a couple of them last week in some business forum.

Casey wrote a nice piece on the SWAPA forum. Not much info but we are in the early stages. My biggest concern is how much they will have to invest on top of already a pretty intense capex spend on airplanes and tech.

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#137

e6bpilot , 06-22-2024 10:55 AM

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Quote:

Originally Posted by REF 5

Many projects in the pipe line. Some will definitely be beneficial to the revenue side of things. It is amazing how much detail these projects get into. I don't think the "trigger shy" guys have a choice. Especially when you start putting estimates of revenue projections for the next couple of years. If they won't, some one else will. You can tell some of those projects have been in the works for a while. BJ already hinted a couple of them last week in some business forum.

Casey wrote a nice piece on the SWAPA forum. Not much info but we are in the early stages. My biggest concern is how much they will have to invest on top of already a pretty intense capex spend on airplanes and tech.

This is Gary Kelly's legacy. While the shareholders and, honestly, a lot of pilots were high fiving over the amazing financial performance of SWA in the mid teens, the company was rotting from the inside. Kelly absolutely crushed it on the cost side while boosting revenue using marginal add ons to the existing product. This resulted in amazing quarterly and annual results, but a cancer started under that cost cutting that is mestasticizing today. He absolutely refused to invest in the IT, infrastructure, and modernization that was going to be required to succeed later on. He put it off and put it off and now that we are doing it, it's costing us way more in lost revenue and increased costs than it ever would have to just do it when it's required. He also went on a fuel hedging gambling binge that lost 9 figures.

It's the same as putting off oil changes in your car to reduce costs. Sure, it will work fine for probably 5 years but when the engine locks up, you sure will wish you just spent the 50 bucks a couple times a year. This whole debacle with Elliott can be attributed to Kelly's terrible leadership and a succession plan that fell apart, leaving us with Jordan.

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#138

REF 5 , 06-22-2024 11:56 AM

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Quote:

Originally Posted by e6bpilot

This is Gary Kelly's legacy. While the shareholders and, honestly, a lot of pilots were high fiving over the amazing financial performance of SWA in the mid teens, the company was rotting from the inside. Kelly absolutely crushed it on the cost side while boosting revenue using marginal add ons to the existing product. This resulted in amazing quarterly and annual results, but a cancer started under that cost cutting that is mestasticizing today. He absolutely refused to invest in the IT, infrastructure, and modernization that was going to be required to succeed later on. He put it off and put it off and now that we are doing it, it's costing us way more in lost revenue and increased costs than it ever would have to just do it when it's required. He also went on a fuel hedging gambling binge that lost 9 figures.

It's the same as putting off oil changes in your car to reduce costs. Sure, it will work fine for probably 5 years but when the engine locks up, you sure will wish you just spent the 50 bucks a couple times a year. This whole debacle with Elliott can be attributed to Kelly's terrible leadership and a succession plan that fell apart, leaving us with Jordan.

All things GK, some good, some bad. Herb would have never done international or Hawaii. I would argue he would not gotten the 800's either. As far as hedging goes, SWA paid 2.89 a gallon in 2023. Delta, UAL and American paid 2.83, 3.01 and 2.96 in 2023. So hedging for the most part still works. Object of the game in hedging is not to make money in the hedge but to know part of fuel costs so they can price fares accordingly in the forward booking curve. Gary's blind spot was operations. Relying heavily on his lieutenants on the op side of things. Only the infrastructure neccesary to get by and not investing in what was needed in the future. He was mentored by Herb for simplicity, but he grew SWA into a complicated machine. Unfortunately BJ may not be up for the task either.

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#139

5tools , 06-23-2024 05:35 PM

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Quote:

Originally Posted by KPer

Well, it seems to be the only thing you can comprehend. Mission accomplished.

Well its pretty obvious you cannot comprehend the topic? And what's being discussed on this thread.

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#140

BusDriver3 , 06-23-2024 09:25 PM

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It's unfortunate. Your company not only insisted on developing the frankenstein MAX, but it will also lead to its downfall and the downfall of Boeing Commercial. I would recommend leaving if you're under 45. Elliott is going to dismantle the company before you even have a chance to recover.

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